On the Radar with Jess

Nov 21: Thanksgiving Travel Outlook

Written by Jessica Arnoldy | Nov 21, 2025 11:15:08 PM

Thanksgiving Travel is here and fortunately it looks like the weather will be mostly cooperative with just a couple of minor systems to track. The gif below shows the precip from Sat am to next Wed evening:

First up is this weekend where light rain will impact the Eastern US and moderate rain will hit the Southwest:

Moving on to Sunday, that Eastern rain is well offshore while the Southwest rain spreads into the 4 corners and parts of Texas. The Pacific NW also gets rain but that's expected this time of year:

On Monday, the system from the Southwest moves further east into the Central part of the country, spreading rain and some storms: 

The system loses some of its energy as  it moves east for Tuesday and only light to moderate precip amounts are expected: 

Places across the Southeast will be thankful for any rain they can get as drought has really increased across the region this fall:

By Wednesday, this system is starting to exit the East coast so hopefully minimal travel impacts will be had the day before Thanksgiving: 

The temperatures during this time frame will be mostly above average. Below is the temperature anomaly Sat AM through Thu AM:

This means that very little frozen precipitation will fall with only the highest elevations and the Canadian border receiving snow:

For the return trip, we will look at things more generally as it is still relatively far way. There is signs that another system to track post Thanksgiving. This is shown in the 72 hour precip from the Euro ensemble below from Thanksgiving evening to Sun evening: 

After that, it does look like an arctic air mass will move into the country, setting up a potential volatile pattern with a warm Southeast still in place: