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On the Radar with Jess

Coastal Storm, Atlantic Awakening, and Tropical Socal Rain

Jessica Arnoldy
Jessica Arnoldy

As we discussed in yesterday's blog , a coastal storm has brought heavy rain and gusty winds to parts of the Midatlantic today. Check out the view from today from our Weatherstem Station in Carova Beach that has received over 2.5" of rain and counting and has gusted to 48 mph! 

 

The good news is this system will be weakening and moving out of the area by later this week but an additional 2-3" of rain could fall between Tuesday evening and Thursday evening:

Image 12-1

Moving back to the Atlantic Basin, the NHC is still monitoring 92L which now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 2 days and has also introduced an area to watch behind 92L which has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days:

Image 13-192L has continued to increase its convection over the day today and has a large envelope of storm activity associated with it. It can develop into a depression or tropical storm at any point now. 

29958453No changes to the thinking yesterday in that whatever does develop should remain north of the Caribbean Islands and stay east of the United States. At this point, it seems that Bermuda is the only land that could potentially get impacts from the system:

GFS Ensembles         Image 14-1

Over in the Eastern Pacific, the NHC has been monitoring Tropical Storm Mario for awhile now and while it is forecasted to slowly weaken, some of its associated moisture could get pulled into Southern California:

Image 18-1  ecmwf-deterministic-swus-pwat-1758024000-1758067200-1758240000-10Up to 2" of rain could fall in the Southern California region, which is relatively rare this time of year as Downtown Los Angeles only averages .13" of rain in the month of September. 

Image 17-1          

Some of our weather stations in Southern California could get their first measurable rainfall in months from this system. Track the current conditions and forecast for these locations in Ventura County here

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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