On The Radar with Jess

Nov 19: Central Rain & Storms Ramp Up, Nov Warmth Continues

Jessica Arnoldy Jessica Arnoldy

As we talked about earlier this week, rain & storms will spread across the Central US, with a small threat for severe weather. Below is today's severe storm outlook from the SPC. The main threat will be hail and damaging winds but an isolated tornado is also possible:

Image 10-Nov-19-2025-02-40-19-0563-PMThe rain totals will be generally 1-2" through Friday morning but isolated higher amounts are possible:

Image 9-Nov-19-2025-02-40-19-2723-PMBelow is the future radar from 6 pm CT Wed night through 6 am CT Friday am:

hrrr-scentus-refc-1763553600-1763596800-1763726400-20The other big story the rest of this week will be the continued warmth across the country. Record highs are possible the next several days, mainly across the Southern US:

Screenshot 2025-11-19 at 9.46.02 AM


Screenshot 2025-11-19 at 9.47.00 AMScreenshot 2025-11-19 at 9.47.48 AMLooking ahead to Thanksgiving Travel, this weekend looks relatively quiet. First up below is the 24hr precipitation from Sat am to Sun am with just some light precipitation expected across the Southeast and Southwest which shouldn't lead to too many travel troubles:

Image 13-Nov-19-2025-02-54-31-9711-PM

From Sun am to Mon Am, that Southwest rain spreads into the South Central again, reaching bigger travel hubs like Dallas and could cause delays at the airports and slick roads.

Image 14-Nov-19-2025-02-54-32-0849-PM

Finally, looking at the time frame from Mon am to Thu am there is a signal for more widespread rain and potential storms spreading across the eastern half of the US. The below image is the forecast precipitation totals from Mon am to Thu am:

Image 16-Nov-19-2025-02-59-32-9426-PMThe good news is not much wintry precipitation is expected which would impact travel more:

Image 17-Nov-19-2025-03-01-40-0440-PM

 

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Jessica Arnoldy, Director of Meteorology Services at Weatherstem
Jessica Arnoldy
Director, Content and Meteorology Services

Jessica brings nearly two decades of broadcast and operational meteorology experience to Weatherstem. She spent 19.5 years as a senior meteorologist at The Weather Channel and holds a BS from Georgia Tech and MS from Penn State. She writes On The Radar to help emergency managers, athletic directors, and operations teams understand what severe weather means for their specific situations.

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