On The Radar with Jess

Nov 23: Thanksgiving Week is Here

Jessica Arnoldy Jessica Arnoldy

As we discussed in our last blog, Thanksgiving Week will kick off with one system moving from the Central US eastward and end with another system approaching the Northwest that could spell trouble for the weekend trip home:

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 Today, that system is working its way across the Southwest and the Southern Plains:


89026530By Monday, the system will bring the chance of severe storms to parts of Texas and Louisiana with damaging wind, large hail, and even a few tornadoes possible:

Image 17-Nov-23-2025-08-40-44-7066-PMStorms will be ongoing across the region tomorrow morning with the Dallas metro likely waking up to thunderstorms. The below future radar is valid from 6 am CT Mon to 6 am CT Tue

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On Tuesday, the system approaches the east coast with mostly welcome rain across the Southeast and even some snow across the Upper Midwest:

Image 18-Nov-23-2025-08-46-32-1992-PM

Some of the storms across the Southeast could be severe with damaging winds likely the main threat: 

Image 25-2

Snow is always a difficult forecast especially a couple of days out, but it is looking likely that at least 4" of snow will fall across Northern Minnesota and even parts of the Dakotas: 

Screenshot 2025-11-23 at 3.55.59 PM

The Euro ensemble echos this thought with accumulating snow across North Dakota and Minnesota:

Image 22-3On Wednesday, the system will exit the Eastern seaboard. Below is the precipitation expected from 7 am ET to 7 pm on Wednesday:

Image 20-4Behind that system, the lake effect snow machine will crank up and could cause hazardous travel on Thanksgiving Day. More details as we get closer but something to monitor and plan your trips accordingly for:

Image 24-4High temperatures Thanksgiving Day will be seasonably cool for most of the Eastern US:

Image 21-3

Still looking like a significant storm will impact the return trip home, starting in the Northwest on Friday and move into the Central US by Sunday:

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-instant_ptype-1763899200-1764331200-1764547200-20

 

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Jessica Arnoldy, Director of Meteorology Services at Weatherstem
Jessica Arnoldy
Director, Content and Meteorology Services

Jessica brings nearly two decades of broadcast and operational meteorology experience to Weatherstem. She spent 19.5 years as a senior meteorologist at The Weather Channel and holds a BS from Georgia Tech and MS from Penn State. She writes On The Radar to help emergency managers, athletic directors, and operations teams understand what severe weather means for their specific situations.

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